US intelligence saw Yugoslavia's end

US intelligence saw Yugoslavia's end
http://archive.gulfnews.com/world/U.S.A/10091615.html
12/22/2006 11:45 PM AP

Washington : US intelligence predicted the violent breakup of the former Yugoslavia in the 1990s with pinpoint precision, but also assessed that the United States and its European allies would do nothing to prevent it, according to a declassified US secret service report.
The report covering Yugoslavia from 1948 to 1990, compiled by the CIA and the National Intelligence Council, bluntly states in 1990 a year before Yugoslavia started to unravel along ethnic lines that the Balkan country "will cease to function as a federal state within one year. It will probably dissolve in two." The ethnic clashes in Yugoslavia starting in Slovenia in 1991, spreading to Croatia in 1992 and climaxing in Bosnia the same year left at least 200,000 people dead and millions displaced. A decade later, Yugoslavia split up in six independent states.